Oil Refineries: Oil prices drop to support domestic GRMs – By Foundation Research

  • By: Foundation Securities (Pvt.) Limited

  • - Published: Friday, 10 March 2017
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<ul><li><span style="font-family:Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:medium;">In March 2017, domestic GRMs are estimated to increase to ~US$8.6/bbl against ~US$8.2/bbl last month. This is mainly driven by prevailing drop in crude oil prices that would partially benefit local refineries (as already maintaining inventories). Furnace oil (FO) cracking margins are expected to fall owing to normalizing seasonal demand from thermal power generation while MS/HSD are estimated to support GRMs. ATRL and NRL (ex-lube) margins are estimated to clock in at US$7.8/bbl and US$5.4/bbl.</span></li><li><span style="font-family:Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;font-size:medium;">We remain cautious in approaching this sector as prevailing stock prices inherit risk of volatile nature of GRMs exposed to global dynamics of crude oil prices swing.</span>...

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